A refinance is a new loan, not an adjustment to your old one. That means it triggers a fresh affordability assessment under the same responsible-lending principles that apply to any consumer credit. The new lender verifies your income, reads recent bank statements, pulls a current credit report, then judges whether the new repayments sit comfortably alongside your living costs. Having a current loan doesn't make the next one a formality.
This cuts both ways. If your income and credit record have strengthened since the original loan, the assessment is usually straightforward and the indicative rate can come back lower. If things have tightened, through reduced income, new commitments, or fresh arrears, the new loan can be harder to secure than the old one, even at a rate the market appears to be offering. The assessment reflects where you are today, not where you were when the first loan was written.
Because the rate and the outcome stay the lender's to decide after that assessment, a refinance is an application that might improve your position rather than a switch that's certain to. Until a lender has run that assessment, the new rate is an estimate rather than a number anyone can rely on.